Software: scpm

SCPM model

On CRAN you can find the R package scpm (spatial smoothing with unknown change-points models). Given observations \(y_1, \ldots, y_N\) obtained at locations \(s_1,\ldots,s_N\) in a two-dimensional space \(\mathcal S\subset \mathbb R^2\), assume the model:

\[ y_i = \sum_{k=1}^{p} a_{ik}b_k + g(s_i) + \epsilon_i \]

with errors \(\epsilon_i\sim Normal(0,\sigma^2)\) having covariance \(\mathbb{C}\textrm{ov}(\epsilon_i,\epsilon_j)=\sigma^2\rho(||h_{ij}||)\) where \(\rho(\cdot)\) is a valid correlation model and \(h_{ij}=s_j - s_i\) for any two locations \(s_i,s_j\in\mathcal S\). The \(a_1,\ldots,a_p\) are known covariates with unknown effects \(b_1,\ldots,b_p\), and \(g(\cdot)\) is unknown and assumed a smooth double differentible surface which we want to estimate. In this context, scpm allows you to perform 5 main tasks:

  1. (Residual) maximum likelihood estimation of covariance/semivariogram models for the spatial variation. For instance:

    • Mátern
    • Gneiting
    • Exponential
    • Gaussian, among others.
  2. (Residual) maximum likelihood estimation of traditional geostatistical linear models.

  3. Smoothing for geostatistical data or problems in \(2D\) (lattices or scattered data) using tensor product or thin-plate cubic splines.

    ATTENTION: for some scattered data or large datasets, estimation can be time demanding.

  4. Estimation of unknown change-points (\(1D\)), or contours of change (\(2D\)).

  5. Test to select between linear models and smoothing splines.

Download the package from https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=scpm or within R console type install.packages("scpm"). The manual (link here) describes in detail the different commands and their theoretical aspects. If you have any comments, suggestions or questions you can contact me here.

In case you would like to see scpm in action before installing it, you can try the following example code online (click the green button or press Ctrl+Enter to run).

The same code and its output below:

#loading data landim1 originally from geoR package
data(landim1, package = "scpm")

library(scpm)

#converting data to class "sss"
d <- as.sss(landim1, coords = NULL, coords.col = 1:2, data.col = 3:4)

#Fitting spatial linear model with response A and covariate B
#Gneiting covariance function in the errors

#Null model
m0 <- scp(A ~ linear(~ 1 + B), data = d, model = "RMgneiting")

#Adding a bivariate cubic spline based on the coordinates
m1 <- scp(A ~ linear(~ B) + s2D(penalty = "cs"), data = d, model = "RMgneiting")

#Plotting observed and estimated field from each model
par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(m0, what = "obs", type = "persp", main = "Model null - y")
plot(m0, what = "fit", type = "persp", main = "Model null - fit")
plot(m1, what = "obs", type = "persp", main = "Model alternative - y")
plot(m1, what = "fit", type = "persp", main = "Model alternative - fit")

#Plotting the estimated semivariogram from each model
par(mfrow=c(1,2))
Variogram(m0, main = "Semivariogram - model null", ylim = c(0,0.7))
Variogram(m1, main = "Semivariogram - model alternative", ylim = c(0,0.7))

#Summary of the estimated coefficients
summary(m0)
summary(m1)

#Some information criteria
AIC(m0)
AIC(m1)
AICm(m0)
AICm(m1)
AICc(m0)
AICc(m1)
BIC(m0)
BIC(m1)


Output in R console:

#Null model
> m0 <- scp(A ~ linear(~ 1 + B), data = d, model = "RMgneiting")
Starting computation
Initial values not specified. Using internal search!
.Computing: cycle 1
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Estimating log.rhos, phi
Starting at 0, 0.72727
ML estimation. Use profiling.

Obtaining mean estimates

Ending computation
Organising output
> 
> #Adding a bivariate cubic spline based on the coordinates
> m1 <- scp(A ~ linear(~ B) + s2D(penalty = "cs"), data = d, model = "RMgneiting")
Starting computation
Initial values not specified. Using internal search!
.Computing: cycle 1
One or more starting values were not provided.
Using internal search!
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Estimating alpha1, alpha2, log.rhos, phi
Starting at 3.45455, 0.18182, -0.36364, 0.63636
ML estimation. Use profiling.

.Computing: cycle 2
One or more starting values were not provided.
Using internal search!
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Estimating alpha1, alpha2, log.rhos, phi
Starting at 100, 0.18182, -0.36364, 0.63636
ML estimation. Use profiling.

.Computing: cycle 3
One or more starting values were not provided.
Using internal search!
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Estimating alpha1, alpha2, log.rhos, phi
Starting at 2.63636, 0.27273, -0.09091, 0.72727
ML estimation. Use profiling.

.Computing: cycle 4
One or more starting values were not provided.
Using internal search!
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Estimating alpha1, alpha2, log.rhos, phi
Starting at 1.81818, 0.09091, -0.45455, 0.54546
ML estimation. Use profiling.

.Computing: cycle 5
One or more starting values were not provided.
Using internal search!
Step 1 of 40
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Estimating alpha1, alpha2, log.rhos, phi
Starting at 7.54545, 0.18182, -5.90909, 4.27273
ML estimation. Use profiling.

Computing the Hessian
Obtaining mean estimates

Ending computation
Organising output

> #Plotting observed and estimated field from each model
> par(mfrow=c(2,2))
> plot(m0, what = "obs", type = "persp", main = "Model null - y")
> plot(m0, what = "fit", type = "persp", main = "Model null - fit")
> plot(m1, what = "obs", type = "persp", main = "Model alternative - y")
> plot(m1, what = "fit", type = "persp", main = "Model alternative - fit")
Plot 1
> #Plotting the estimated semivariogram from each model
> par(mfrow=c(1,2))
> Variogram(m0, main = "Semivariogram - model null", ylim = c(0,0.7))
Sill=0.098708
Practical range h=1.443974, 0.95*sill=0.093772
> Variogram(m1, main = "Semivariogram - model alternative", ylim = c(0,0.7))
Sill=0.04485
Practical range h=0, 0.95*sill=0.042608
Plot 2
> #Summary of the estimated coefficients
> summary(m0)
            estimate std.error       t(y)  p(|t(y)|>t)    LL(95%)   UL(95%)
(Intercept)  1.19345739 0.2052892  5.8135411 1.233528e-06  0.7771115 1.6098032
B           -0.04475553 0.1458900 -0.3067759 7.607814e-01 -0.3406342 0.2511231

> summary(m1)
            estimate  std.error       t(y)  p(|t(y)|>t)     LL(95%)      UL(95%)
B            0.05574055 0.16957509  0.3287072 7.444539e-01 -0.28926256  0.400743661
(Intercept)  1.99607030 0.27884727  7.1582925 3.341973e-08  1.42875127  2.563389323
EW          -0.22207126 0.11291636 -1.9666882 5.767543e-02 -0.45180131  0.007658794
NS          -0.25988947 0.11271726 -2.3056760 2.755296e-02 -0.48921445 -0.030564487
EW.NS        0.05641610 0.03480813  1.6207739 1.145840e-01 -0.01440156  0.127233772

> 
> #Some information criteria
> AIC(m0)
[1] 19.31768
> AIC(m1)
[1] 22.3003
> AICm(m0)
[1] 20.52981
> AICm(m1)
[1] 30.44845
> AICc(m0)
[1] 19.31768
> AICc(m1)
[1] 0.6983971
> BIC(m0)
[1] 25.86803
> BIC(m1)
[1] 38.67617